000
FZPN03 KNHC 220952
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU SEP 22 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 14.7N 98.1W 991 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
22 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 15.2N 99.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 15.9N 101.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.9N 104.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM WITHIN 
120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 SW SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 34 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.9N 108.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.5N 110.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.0N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 115W 
S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 09N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 100W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 12N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.TROUGH FROM 13N136W TO 09N138W. FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 135W NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 24N E OF 115W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N130W TO 24N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 12N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W...AND FROM 13N 
TO 19N W OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC THU SEP 22...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 13N108W TO 13N120W TO LOW PRES 
NEAR 10N128W 1010 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS 
WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 128W.      

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.