000
FZPN03 KNHC 162154
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE AUG 16 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA AT 11.7N 135.7W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
16 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 9 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 
55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM E AND 45 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 11.9N 138.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM 
NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.4N 141.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
75 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 15.0N 145.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 15.5N 149.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 15.5N 
153.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E AT 13.8N 99.6W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC 
AUG 16 MOVING W-NW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 
30 GUSTS 40 KT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 15.6N 104.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA UNDER STORM 
FORCE WIND WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 17.0N 110.0W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 18.0N 114.0W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 19.0N 116.5W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 20.0N 118.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FERNANDA WARNINGS  WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 
NM S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FERNANDA WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM N AND WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES  
WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FERNANDA WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS 
TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WARNINGS...WITHIN 
210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 
10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM N 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N 
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.LOW PRES 12N112 1008 MB.  WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE  WINDS 
20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES 14N114W 1010 MB.  WITHIN 240 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE  NE WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.  FROM 09N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 100W AND 115W  SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES DISSIPATED.  CONDITIONS DESCRIBED IN 
PARAGRAPH ABOVE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL LOW STORM SEVEN.

.ELSEWHERE FROM 04N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 117W  WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 
118W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  ELSEWHERE S OF 14N FROM 110W TO 120W  WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 2100 UTC TUE AUG 16...
.TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
75 NM N SEMICIRCLE.  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG N OF 12N TO MEXICAN COAST FROM 99W AND 103W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N82W TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN TO 
15N104W TO 11N118W TO 13N126W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 300 NM S OF AXIS E OF 95W AND FROM 112W TO 122W.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.