000
FZPN03 KNHC 031517
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 03 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 15.7N 114.1W 949 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 03 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 135 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 17.0N 118.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...105 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NE QUADRANT...210 NM 
SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 18.4N 122.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 210 
NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 19.8N 126.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EUGENE NEAR 21.0N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EUGENE NEAR 21.5N
133.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 W 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
05N TO 11N BETWEEN 108W AND 122W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 
12N TO 24N BETWEEN 103W AND 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W S TO 
SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY 
IN SE SWELL.

.LOW NEAR 14N98W 1006 MB. WITHIN 25 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 15N101W 
1005 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 16N105W 
1005 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
 
.FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 27N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 27N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 98W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 06N BETWEEN 95W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 118W AND 127W SE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 08N BETWEEN 100W AND 
130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1430 UTC WED AUG 03...
.HURRICANE EUGENE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N98W 1006 MB. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG N OF 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 13N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 98W 
AND 101W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 1006 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
14N98W THEN CONTINUES FROM 12N118W TO 10N126W. THE ITCZ AXIS 
EXTENDS FROM 10N126W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 03N TO 07N E OF 80W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. 
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 87W.  

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.