000 FZPN03 KNHC 030858 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC WED AUG 03 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 03. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 04. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 05. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 15.2N 113.0W 961 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 03 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 140 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 16.7N 117.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...105 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM NE QUADRANT...330 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 18.0N 121.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 85 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 19.5N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EUGENE NEAR 20.5N 129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EUGENE NEAR 21.5N 132.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM EXCEPT 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 106W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 24N BETWEEN 103W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 510 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 117W AND 124W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N BETWEEN 106W AND 123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .LOW NEAR 14N98W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 15N101W 1005 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW EXCEPT 180 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 16N104W 1005 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 28N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .S OF 05N BETWEEN 98W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 06N BETWEEN 95W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 118W AND 127W SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 08N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AS OF 0745 UTC WED AUG 03... .HURRICANE EUGENE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM. .SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 99W AND 102W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF MEXICAN COAST FROM 20N TO 23N. .NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 06N E OF 82W INCLUDING GULF OF PANAMA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 02N TO 06N. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 1006 MB LOW PRES NEAR 14N98W THEN CONTINUES FROM 12N117W TO 1009 MB LOW PRES NEAR 10N120W TO 10N129W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N129W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW NEAR 14N98W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM NW QUADRANT. $$ .FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.