000
FZPN03 KNHC 021506
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 14.0N 109.6W 973 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 02 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 15.3N 113.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 105 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 16.8N 117.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...105 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 18.0N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 19.5N 126.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EUGENE NEAR 20.5N
129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.



.HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 13.8N 108.3W 978 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 02
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 15.0N 111.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...270 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 16.6N 115.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 18.0N 120.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 19.5N 123.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EUGENE NEAR 21.0N
127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 330 NM E AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
07N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 330 NM E 
AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 107W AND 120W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM E 
AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.
 
.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 134W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 10N W OF 133W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 26N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.S OF 07S BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N BETWEEN 100W AND 123W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 08N BETWEEN 96W TO 125W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1500 UTC TUE AUG 02...
.HURRICANE EUGENE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST FROM 16N TO 20N.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 07N83W TO 1008 MB LOW 
PRES NEAR 14N94W THEN CONTINUES FROM 12N114W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES 
NEAR 11N119W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 10N131W TO 08N136W. ITCZ 
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N136W TO BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 120 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH FROM 84W TO 87W. SIMILAR 
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.