000
FZPN03 KNHC 011507
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON AUG 01 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 12.3N 103.9W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
01 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 13.6N 107.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 15.0N 111.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EUGENE NEAR 16.5N 114.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 18.0N 117.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EUGENE NEAR 19.5N 119.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM E AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
05N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 330 NM E 
AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. S OF 07N BETWEEN 98W AND 
110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM E 
AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. S OF 08N BETWEEN 96W AND 
122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHAUNTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 16N W OF 132W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 16N W OF 134W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N 110W AND 121W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W SW WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 12N BETWEEN 
110W AND 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EUGENE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1500 UTC MON AUG 01...
.TROPICAL STORM EUGENE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE.

.1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 15N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 TO 120 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO 
BETWEEN 102W AND 107W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N79W TO ACROSS WESTERN PANAMA 
AND COSTA RICA TO 14N93W THEN CONTINUES FROM 12N108W TO 1008 MB 
LOW NEAR 11N120W TO 1010 MB LOW NEAR 10N132W TO 10N133W. THE 
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N133W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
90 NM S OF AXIS FROM 91W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF MONSOON AXIS FROM 114W TO 119W. 
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF THE 
WESTERNMOST LOW EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.