000
FZPN03 KNHC 211535
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 21 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DORA NEAR 17.1N 106.9W 929 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 21
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT
GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT... 
200 NM SE QUADRANT...160 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 220 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 50 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 19.1N 109.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 42 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 20.8N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT... 
150 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 22.5N 114.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 24.4N
117.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 26.0N
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM 
OF HURRICANE DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 270 NM OF DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 210 NM OF DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.S OF 11N W OF 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 11N W OF 132W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N W OF 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.NW OF LINE 19N140W TO 26N135W TO 30N135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 120N AND 127W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1500 UTC THU JUL 21...
.HURRICANE DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
WEAK MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NW COLOMBIA TO 07N81W TO 05N94W 
THEN AS ITCZ TO 07N111W TO 11N128W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG N OF 5N E OF 81W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.