000
FZPN03 KNHC 210922
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU JUL 21 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DORA NEAR 16.6N 106.1W 942 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 21
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...270 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 46 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 18.6N 108.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER...WITH SEAS 
TO 43 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 20.3N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT... 
150 NM SE QUADRANTS...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 21.9N 113.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 23.5N 
117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 25.5N 
119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF HURRICANE 
DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 132W WINDS NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND S SWELL. ELSEWHERE...W OF A LINE FROM 
11N127W TO 05N136W TO 00N135W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 13N W OF 135W MAINLY NE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE...W OF A LINE FROM 12N133W TO 09N135W 
TO 04N128W TO 00N128W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N W OF 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.NW OF LINE 19N140W TO 26N135W TO 30N135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N W OF 137W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 122N AND 127W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 0830 UTC THU JUL 21...
.HURRICANE DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
WEAK MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NW COLOMBIA TO 05N90W TO 05N94W 
THEN TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ AND CONTINUES TO 09N107W TO 11N126W TO 
11N130W TO 08N136W TO BEYOND 08N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG N OF 05.5N AND E OF 80WW. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.