000 FZPN03 KNHC 201531 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC WED JUL 20 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 20. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 21. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 22. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE DORA NEAR 14.9N 103.0W 981 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 20 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 17.1N 106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT... 180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 19.3N 109.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 20.8N 111.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 22.5N 115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 24.0N 118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 127W WINDS NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND S SWELL. WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 13N110W TO 10N123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 133W WINDS NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 132W WINDS E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 09N140W TO 00N100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N W OF 137W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1500 UTC WED JUL 20... .HURRICANE DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N80W TO 10N90W RESUMES NEAR 15N110W TO 08N140W. ITCZ W OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 134W. $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. 000 FZPN03 KNHC 201531 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC WED JUL 20 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 20. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 21. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 22. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE DORA NEAR 14.9N 103.0W 981 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 20 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 17.1N 106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT... 180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 19.3N 109.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 20.8N 111.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 22.5N 115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 24.0N 118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 127W WINDS NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND S SWELL. WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 13N110W TO 10N123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 133W WINDS NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 132W WINDS E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 09N140W TO 00N100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N W OF 137W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1500 UTC WED JUL 20... .HURRICANE DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N80W TO 10N90W RESUMES NEAR 15N110W TO 08N140W. ITCZ W OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 134W. $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.