000
FZPN03 KNHC 091558 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC MON AUG 09 2010

COR TO INCLUDE INITIAL PSN OF TS ESTELLE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES
MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 11.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 17.7N 112.3W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC 
AUG 09 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 40 NM 
OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 17.5N 
113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 17.1N 
113.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 16.5N 
113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 75 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
90 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
ESTELLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 24N TO 28N WITHIN 120 NM W OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA 
NW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 123W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. N OF 10N E OF 100W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 123W SW TO W 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W SW TO W 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 136W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 
07N TO 10N W OF 134W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 137W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1430 UTC MON AUG 09...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ANALYZED ALONG 10N72W TO 
08.5N79W TO 10N88W TO 14N97W TO 17N107W...THEN BEGINS ANEW FROM 
14N109W TO 13N114W TO 12.5N120W TO 10N133W TO 11N138W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS 
AND WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS E OF 120W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.