000
FZPN03 KNHC 081526
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC SUN AUG 08 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES
MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 18.0N 111.0W 996 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
08 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 18.1N 113.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 35 NM S SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM 
SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE NEAR 18.0N 114.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
45 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 17.6N 
115.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 17.0N
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 16.5N
114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT OF 
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
ESTELLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N SE TO S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 29N BETWEEN 126W AND 138W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 24N W OF 136W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.TROUGH FROM 10.5N135W TO 09.5N140W. FROM 11N TO 16N W OF 137W 
NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF TROUGH TO 02N W OF 134W S 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA.

.S OF ITCZ TO 07N BETWEEN 95W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 123W SW TO 
W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 122W SW TO W 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 1430 UTC SUN AUG 08...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WAS NOTED 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ANALYZED ALONG 11N73W TO 
12N90W TO 15N105W TO 11N122W TO 11N137W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 150 NM N AND 240 
NM S OF AXIS E OF 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
WAS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM N AND 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 
123W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.