000
FZPN03 KNHC 070252
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
0430 UTC SAT AUG 07 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES
MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 17.2N 106.2W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC 
AUG 07 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 18.3N 109.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 30 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.1N 111.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 45 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.3N 112.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N 113.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N 
114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM NE...60 NM SE AND NW...AND 90 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM NE...90 NM SE AND NW...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.TROUGH 13N132W TO 08N139W. N OF 11N WITHIN 150 NM NW OF TROUGH 
NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 13N135W TO 09N140W. N OF 11N WITHIN 90 
NM NW OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 240 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 123W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 04N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 86W AND 106W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 240 NM S OF LINE FROM 10N125W TO 
13N120W TO 13N100W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 125 WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 300 NM S OF LINE FROM 10N130W TO 
14N118W TO 14N100W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
SW SWELL.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 0300 UTC SAT AUG 07...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM E 
QUADRANT. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM S 
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...12N87W TO 09N96W TO 13N115W TO 
10N127W TO 11N132W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 95W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.