000
FZPN03 KNHC 062153
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC FRI AUG 06 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES
MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 08.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 17.2N 105.0W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC 
AUG 06 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITHIN 90 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 18.2N 107.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.0N 110.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N 111.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N
112.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N
113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 
E...AND WITHIN 75 NM S AND W QUADRANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.TROUGH 13N131W TO 07N138W. N OF 11N WITHIN 150 NM NW OF TROUGH 
NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 13N134W TO 08N140W. N OF 11N WITHIN 90 
NM NW OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 240 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 122W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 05N TO 08N 
BETWEEN 84W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W...AND 
WITHIN 240 NM S OF LINE FROM 13N120W TO 10N130W S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 
87W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W...AND 
FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W SW TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 
100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 2100 UTC FRI AUG 06...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM E QUADRANT.

.N OF 05N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N85W TO 09N101W TO 13N114W 
TO 09N127W TO 10N132W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 99W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 112W...WITHIN 150 NM N OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 130W...AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 
125W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.