000
FZPN03 KNHC 172118
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT OCT 17 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE RICK NEAR 14.8N 104.5W 934 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 17 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT 
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 135 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM 
NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 47 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 16.0N 108.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT GUSTS 170 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N AND 240 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 53 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 17.9N 111.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...165 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 
NM SW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADII OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITH SEAS TO 44 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 20.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 22.5N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK INLAND NEAR 25.5N 108.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

...STORM WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 13N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 
TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 
.30 HOUR WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 
13N97.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 40 
TO 50 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N95W TO 
13N97.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 12N98W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 
TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RICK WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM E AND 210 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
04N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RICK WARNING...WITHIN 420 
NM NE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 118W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RICK WARNING...WITHIN 420 
NM NE AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 108W AND 120W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 
FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 60 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 13N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 14N96W TO 12N100W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94W TO 13N96W TO 11N100W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 93W AND 103W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
NE SWELL.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W SE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 08N BETWEEN 105W AND 127W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 08N BETWEEN 95W AND 125W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 21N W OF 132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 115W EXCEPT N OF 24N W OF 125W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 22N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 23N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 24N W OF 135W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC SAT OCT 17...

.HURRICANE RICK...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA 
FROM 05N TO 08N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...08N81W TO 12N100W TO 11N110W 
TO 13N125W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM S OF AXIS W OF 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N 
AND 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 127W.

$$ 
.FORECASTER COBB. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.