000
FZPN03 KNHC 160320
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI OCT 16 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 12.4N 97.7W 999 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 16
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 35 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 13.3N 100.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 14.3N 104.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 150 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 15.7N 109.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 18.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 20.0N 112.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 60 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
270 NM NE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS OF HURRICANE WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 115N AND 120W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W N WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 21N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W N TO NE WINDS 
TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W N WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.LOW NEAR 12N133W 1010 MB MOVING W 12 KT. WITHIN 360 NM NE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 12N137W 1009 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA. FROM 12N TO 21N W OF 135W NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N118W TO 20N125W TO 18N140W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST N OF 28N. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT JUST NW OF THE AREA. NW 
OF LINE FROM 20N118W TO 19N125W TO 15N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST FAR NW PORTION.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N136W TO 
28N140W. ELSEWHERE SE OF LINE FROM 30N123W TO 26N130W
TO 21N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SUBSIDING NW 
SWELL.

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N136W TO 27N140W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ELSEWHERE N OF 17N W OF 117W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W OF 115W EXCEPT N OF 23NW 
OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SWELL SUBSIDED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 07N BETWEEN 98W AND 111W S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
PRIMARILY SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W S WINDS 
TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN PRIMARILY SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST 02N TO 08N BETWEEN 106W AND 125W S WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W 
TO 14.5N95.5W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0130 UTC FRI OCT 16...
.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 120 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM RICK AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE 
COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BETWEEN 92W AND 95W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH 
ALONG 107W FROM 08N TO 10N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 90 NM AND 180 NM W QUADRANT OF 1010 
MB LOW PRES NEAR 12N133W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS FROM 08N80W TO 13N95W TO 
10N105W TO 12N115W TO 08N131W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 132W.

$$ 
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.