000
FZPN03 KNHC 132104
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 13 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.1N 108.9W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC
OCT 13 MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.7N 110.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 
NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA NEAR 22.9N
114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PATRICIA NEAR 23.0N 117.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PATRICIA NEAR 23.0N 121.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE OF PATRICIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN
60 NM NW OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 110W TO 114W N OF 19N TO THE W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 111W AND 116W N OF 19N TO 
THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT S OF 25N.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W N WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 126W AND 137W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W NE TO E 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 19N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.N OF 28N W OF 128W W TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT 
IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 123W W TO SW WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W TO 129W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 123W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 135W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.LOW 07N86W 1010 MB MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WITHIN 60 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 07N 
BETWEEN 83W AND 94W S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. S 
OF 04N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 08N90W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 06N 
BETWEEN 85W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S 
SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N93W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. ELSEWHERE S 
OF 07N BETWEEN 85W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN S SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 2030 UTC TUE OCT 13...
.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 13N92W TO 03N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
180 NM W OF AXIS FROM 10N TO 12N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST BETWEEN 80W AND 
84W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS FROM 08N83W TO 05N90W TO 
12N124W TO 14N135W TO TROUGH FROM 20N135W TO 13N137W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 90W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 360 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 104W.

$$ 
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.