000
FZPN03 KNHC 131508
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 13 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 21.4N 109.0W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC 
OCT 13 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 
KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 25 NM NE 
QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.3N 110.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 113.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 
116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 119.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM E AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN
90 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 24N TO 27N E OF 115W TO THE W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW 
TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 118W TO THE W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA...EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 28N W TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 28N WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. FROM 07N TO 12N W OF 120W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 

.LOW 08N88W 1009 MB MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. S OF 08N BETWEEN 85W 
AND 95W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 
05N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 08N90W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 06N 
BETWEEN 85W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S 
SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N92W 1007 MB. WITHIN 210 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. ELSEWHERE S 
OF 07N BETWEEN 85W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN S SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WEAKENING FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 30N126W TO 23N136W BECOMING 
DIFFUSE. N OF 28N W OF 125W W TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N124W TO 25N130W 
TO 23N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W TO 135W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
10N TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N122W TO 
23N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT APPROACHING THE FAR NW PORTION. N OF 28N 
W OF 135W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W 118W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST SEAS N OF 26N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W.   

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC TUE OCT 13...

.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 
19N TO 22N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS FROM 08N84W TO 05N100W TO 
12N120W TO 13N135W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 
13N100W TO 09N99W TO 06N97W. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS FROM 04N TO 12N BETWEEN 84W AND 92W. SIMILAR 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 80-100 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 122W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 127W AND 
134W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.