000
FZPN03 KNHC 130936
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE OCT 13 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 20.7N 109.3W 997 MB AT 0900 UTC 
OCT 13 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 
KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 25 NM NE 
QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...45 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.1N 110.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 118.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 210 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM
E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN
150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 24N TO 27N E OF 115W TO THE W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW 
TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 118W TO THE W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA...EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 27.5N W TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 27.5N WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 123W AND 137W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. FROM 04N TO 12N W OF 123W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 127W AND 137W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 

.LOW 08N88W 1009 MB MOVING W 8 KT. FROM 00N TO 05N BETWEEN 82W 
AND 90W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 07N89W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 02N TO 05N 
BETWEEN 87W AND 94W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N92W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 07N BETWEEN 
92W AND 102W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.FROM 10.5N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N E OF 88W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WEAKENING FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 30N126W TO 21.5N140W BECOMING 
DIFFUSE. N OF 28N NW OF FRONT W TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT E OF 130W SW WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DIFFUSE FROM 30N121W TO 23N136W. NW OF 
FRONT N OF 28.5N AND W TO 135W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
13 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED AND MOVED NE OF AREA. NW OF 
LINE 30N118W TO 19N140W SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW 
SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0800 UTC TUE OCT 13...

.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ALL 
QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 150 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS FROM 08N75W TO 09N80W TO 
09N86W TO 06N94W TO 07N100W...THEN RESUMES AT 12.5N105W TO 
11N115W TO 13N134W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION WAS FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 180 NM S OF 
AXIS W OF 125W...WHILE ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS WITHIN 
90 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 125W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.