000
FZPN03 KNHC 130313
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE OCT 13 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 20.0N 109.9W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC 
OCT 13 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 
KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE...
90 NM SE QUADRANTS AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 21.6N 110.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...80 NM SE AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 
NM NE AND 120 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 23 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.3N 112.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 115.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 118.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 22.5N 121.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF TROPICAL STORM 
PATRICIA EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM
SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN
180 NM OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA EXCEPT 210 NM SE AND 120 NM NE 
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 22N TO 25N E OF 115W TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO
N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 28N E OF 115W TO THE COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NW WINDS TO TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 116W TO THE COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 127W AND 134W E WINDS 
TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 135W S TO 
SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 04N TO 09N W OF 125W SE TO 
S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N90W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 08N BETWEEN 85W AND 97W S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN S SWELL.

.WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N129W TO 24N140W MOVING ESE 15 KT.
N OF 25N WITHIN 120 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
N OF 28N W OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N121W TO 21N140W. 
N OF 28N WITHIN 60 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT
IN NW SWELL. N OF 28N W OF FRONT SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED NE OF AREA. N OF 28N W OF 133W
SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W 
OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 26N130W TO 21N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N88W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W 
TO 10N90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0315 UTC TUE OCT 13...

.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM NE AND
90 NM SE QUADRANTS. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS FROM 08N84W TO 07N91W
TO 11N100W...THEN RESUMES AT 13N110W TO 12N117W TO 13N125W TO 
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN
127W AND 133W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND
139W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE 
AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 89W.

$$ 
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.