000
FZPN03 KNHC 122139
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 12 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 19.8N 110.1W 997 MB AT 2100 UTC 
OCT 12 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50
KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM SE AND
50 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 
90 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 21.6N 110.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 120 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 111.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...110 NM SE QUADRANT...AND
40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 114.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.5N 117.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 22.5N 120.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF TROPICAL STORM 
PATRICIA EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM
SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN
180 NM OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA EXCEPT 210 NM SE AND 120 NM NE 
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 22N TO 25N E OF 115W TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO
N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS AS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH TROPICAL
STORM PATRICIA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 116W TO THE COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 127W AND 134W E WINDS 
TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 135W S TO 
SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 04N TO 09N W OF 125W SE TO 
S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N90W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 08N BETWEEN 85W AND 97W S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN S SWELL.

.WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N131W TO 24N140W MOVING ESE 13 KT. 
N OF 25N WITHIN 120 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
N OF 28N W OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N122W TO 21N140W. 
N OF 28N W OF FRONT SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED NE OF AREA. N OF 28N W OF 130W
SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W 
OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 26N130W TO 24N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N88W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W 
TO 10N90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC MON OCT 12...

.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 17N112W.

.SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N128W AND 30 NM OF 13N96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS FROM 08N84W TO 07N91W
TO 10N101W...THEN RESUMES AT 13N110W TO 12N117W TO 13N125W TO
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE 
AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 130W...AND 120 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN
130W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM 
S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 89W...AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE
AXIS W OF 136W.

$$ 
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.