000
FZPN03 KNHC 121526
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 12 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 19.1N 109.6W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC 
OCT 12 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...90 
NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 21.6N 109.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH MAXIMUM SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 22.9N 110.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
WATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 23.0N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 23.0N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PATRICIA NEAR 23.0N 118.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF TROPICAL STORM 
PATRICIA EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER 
WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.

.FROM 23N TO 26N E OF 116W TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 23N TO 26N 
N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N 105W AND 110W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N131W TO 24N140W MOVING ESE 10 TO 15 KT. N OF 
24N WITHIN 90 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8FT. W OF 
FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N125W TO 21N140W. N OF 28N W 
124W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 
FROM 30N124W TO 22N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT N OF AREA. NW OF LINE FROM 30N122W TO 
24N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W 
TO 10N90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SUN OCT 12...

.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS FROM 07N78W TO 08N97W 
THEN RESUMES FROM 13N112W TO 12N125W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 03N E OF 86W. 
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 98W AND 
107W...AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS FROM 121W TO 132W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.