000
FZPN03 KNHC 160919
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU JUL 16 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 18.2N 119.1W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC
JUL 16 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 
NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 21.0N 124.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES NEAR 23.0N 130.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 24.5N 134.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 25.5N 138.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 26.0N 142.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 10.1N 133.5W 1004 MB AT 0900 
UTC JUL 16 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 10.3N 137.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW W OF AREA NEAR 10.3N 142.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW W OF AREA NEAR 10.5N 148.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DOLORES WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 540 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DOLORES WARNING...WITHIN 
360 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DOLORES WARNING...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 09N136W 
TO 20N127W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 30 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N 
TO 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CARLOS CONDITIONS W OF AREA. FROM 11N TO 15N W 
OF 138W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.FROM 09N TO 13N E OF 90W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N86W TO 
08N96W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N86W TO 
08N106W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.S OF 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 125W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT PRIMARILY IN SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 130W SE TO 
S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 
20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 116W NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC THU JUL 16...

TROPICAL STORM DOLORES...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN 
BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF 17N117W TO 16N119W TO 20N121W...AND WITHIN 
15 NM OF NEW BAND ALONG 20N117W TO 17N115W TO 14N115W. 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SE OF 
CENTER WITHIN 30 NM OF 09.5N132.5W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS 07N77W TO 12N100W TO 10N125W 
TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE 09N97W TO 11N113W AND WITHIN 30 NM LINE 
09N136W TO 07N140W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.