000
FZPN03 KNHC 151548
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 15 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS AT 10.3N 129.5W 978 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 15 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 5 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 GUSTS 90 
KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 
NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.9N 132.4W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.6N 136.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N AND 15 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 142.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 147.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 153.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 15.0N 115.6W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC 
JUL 15 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 11 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 
GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 17.5N 119.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 19.6N 125.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES NEAR 21.0N 131.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 21.5N 137.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 21.5N 143.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NW AND WITHIN 
30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE 
FROM 10N TO 23N W OF 130W  NE WIND 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 90 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE  WIND TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 
11N TO 22N W OF 132W  NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOS WARNING....OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM NW SEMICIRCLE  WIND TO 33 KT.  
SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 135W  NE WIND 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 SE QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER  
WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS.

.FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 85W AND 102W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO 
NE TO E WIND 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 08N BETWEEN 95W AND 127W  SE TO S WIND 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  ELSEWHERE S OF 11N BETWEEN 96W AND 120W AND 
S OF 11N W OF 120W  SE WIND 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 25N WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA 
NW WIND 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC WED JUL 15...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NE AND WITHIN 
30 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM DOLORES...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 240 NM AROUND 
NE SEMICIRCLE.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...04N77W TO 13N110W TO 11N117W TO 
08N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
AXIS E OF 100W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS W OF 115W.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.