000
FZPN03 KNHC 150315
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED JUL 15 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.0N 128.6W 972 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 15
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS
110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.7N 131.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 35 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND WITHIN 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.6N 135.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 140.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 146.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 153.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E NEAR 13.8N 113.8W 1006 MB AT 0300 
UTC JUL 15 MOVING W NW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.4N 117.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 19.0N 122.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E NEAR 20.0N 128.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.0N 134.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.0N 140.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOS WARNING. WITHIN 330 NM NW AND WITHIN 
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 360 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 360 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 133W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WARNING. WITHIN 
240 NM N AND WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 300 NM N 
AND WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE 
IN WINDS OR SEAS.

.WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N95W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 85W AND 115W S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. S OF 05N W OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W SE WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 103W AND 118W SE WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT WITH SE AND SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N 
BETWEEN 95W AND 128W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED JUL 15...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM ELSEWHERE.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG 
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 12.5N TO 16N FROM 111W TO 113W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...06N77W TO 07N105W TO 07N115W TO 
09N125W TO 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 08N95W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN THE AREA FROM 10N 
TO 14N FROM 102W TO 105W. 

$$
.FORECASTER LL/NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.