000
FZPN03 KNHC 141543
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE JUL 14 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS AT 10.0N 127.5W 978 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 14 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 6 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 80 GUSTS 
100 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.5N 130.2W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 85 GUSTS 105 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND 
WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 35 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.2N 133.9W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 75 GUSTS 90 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 138.5W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 144.0W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 150.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HURRICANE CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 330 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 
FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 17N W OF 125W  NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 129W  NE WIND 20 KT.  SEAS 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NW AND WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES  WIND 
TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 132W 
NE WIND 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.

.LOW PRES 12N113 1008 MB.  WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT AND  
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER  WIND 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N118W 1006 MB.  WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WIND 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N122W 1005 MB.  WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE  WIND 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.  WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE  WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W  NE TO E WIND 20 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W  
WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 95W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WIND 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WIND 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 90W INCLUDING 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO  NE TO E WIND 20 TO 30 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT.

.S OF 06N W OF 95W  SE TO S WIND 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 07N W OF 93W  SE TO S WIND 20 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 09N BETWEEN 96W AND 128W  SE WIND 20 
KT.  SEAS 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.N OF 27N E OF 125W  NW WIND 20 KT.  SEAS 10 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 26N E OF 120W  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  
SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1430 UTC TUE JUL 14...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER. 

.LOW PRES CENTERED 12N113W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
90 NM NE QUADRANT.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM SW QUADRANT. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE....AXIS ALONG 06N77W TO 11N110W 
TO 09N119W TO 11N124W THEN FROM 08N128W TO 07N140W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N AND 240 NM S OF AXIS E 
OF 100W AND FROM 107W TO 120W.  ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM 
OF AXIS W OF 128W. 

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.