000
FZPN03 KNHC 141017 AAA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...AMENDED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE JUL 14 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
AMENDED TO UPGRADE TROPICAL STORM TO HURRICANE

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS SPECIAL NEAR 9.7N 127.2W 987 MB AT 1000 UTC
JUL 14 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65
KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF
CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM
SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SPECIAL NEAR 10.0N 130.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 10.4N 134.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 11.0N 139.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 11.5N 144.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 11.5N 150.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL HURRICANE CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 
300 NM NW AND WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 18N W OF 127W NE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 22N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NW AND WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 
132W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.LOW PRES 13N110.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N115W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N120W 1005 MB. WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.

.FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 11N E OF 95W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 90W INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.S OF 06N W OF 95W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N W OF 93W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 09N BETWEEN 96W AND 128W SE WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.N OF 24N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 28N E OF 125W NW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY 
IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM 
N OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 13N110.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 119W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE....AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 06N77W TO 
11N109W TO 09N113W TO TROPICAL STORM CARLOS AT 10N127W THEN SW 
TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 04N TO 09N E OF 
100W AND ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 121W AND 138W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.