000
FZPN03 KNHC 132112
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON JUL 13 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 9.4N 126.1W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
13 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE
QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 9.7N 130.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.4N 134.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.0N 138.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.5N 144.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.5N 151.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 300 
NM NW AND WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 16N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 18N W OF 129W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 20N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.

.LOW PRES 11N107W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 240 S SEMICIRCLE S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
12N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
13N117W 1006 MB. WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
FT.

.N OF 27N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 13N96W INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 13N E OF 95W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.S OF 04N W OF 104W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 06N W OF 96W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 108W AND 122W SE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 08N W OF 95W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC MON JUL 13...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 80 NM 
N OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 11N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 300 NM E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 07N78W TO 11N105W TO 
08N115W TO 10N121W TO 08N130W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG N OF 05N E OF 82W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 
92W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 
118W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM N OF AXIS W OF 132W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.