000
FZPN03 KNHC 130904
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUL 13 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS IS NEAR 10.2N 124.1W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC 
JUL 13 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.4N 128.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITH MAX SEAS 18 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.1N 132.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.9N 136.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.5N 141.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.5N 145.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 360 
NM NW AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT. 

.LOW PRES 11N104W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 240 S SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 
TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...11N108W 
1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE N TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N111W 
1006 MB. WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.

.N OF 25N W OF 128W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 13N97W INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 85W AND 94W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 85W AND 91W INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.S OF 03N BETWEEN 100W AND 127W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 93W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 08N W OF 92W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC MON JUL 13...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM LINE 08N122W TO 12N125W.

SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF MEXICAN COAST FROM 97W TO 106W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 08N77W TO 07N92W TO 
11N106W TO 08N110W TO 11N110W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 118W AND FROM 
06N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 137W. 

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.