000
FZPN03 KNHC 130307
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON JUL 13 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.2N 123.0W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
13 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 23 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.4N 126.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 N AND WITHIN 120 S SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.9N 131.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 27 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 11.7N 135.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.5N 140.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.5N 145.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM N QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM N 
AND WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM N 
AND WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.LOW PRES 11N104W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N108W 
1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE N TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...
12.5 N112W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.TROUGH 24N128W TO 28N127W. N OF 24N W OF TROUGH TO 135W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 24N130W TO 28N131W. N OF 27N WITHIN 240 
NM W OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED...WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 15N96W INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 
14N96W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 91W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS.
.42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 93W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 94W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.N OF 24N WITHIN 120 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE IN THE FIRST 
PARAGRAPH. 

.S OF 04N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 06N W OF 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N W OF 95W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC MON JUL 13...

.T.S. CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SE AND S OF CENTER IN A 
FEEDER BAND. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 08N 78W TO 10N104W TO  
11N120W TO 07N130W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 111W AND FROM 07N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 126W AND 136W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.