000
FZPN03 KNHC 122115
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.3N 121.9W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
12 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.5N 126.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 N AND WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 29 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.9N 130.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.5N 135.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.5N 139.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 13.0N 144.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HURRICANE CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM N 
QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM N 
AND WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM N 
AND WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.LOW PRES 11N104W. WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...11N107W 
1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE N TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N112W 
1007 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.

.TROUGH 23N127W TO 28N127W. N OF 24N W OF TROUGH TO 135W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 29N130W TO 22N132W. N OF 27N WITHIN 240 
NM W OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED...WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 15N96W INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 
14N96W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 91W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS.
.42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 93W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 94W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.N OF 24N WITHIN 120 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE IN THE FIRST 
PARAGRAPH. 

.S OF 03N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W SE WINDS TO 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N W OF 95W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SUN JUL 12...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER IN S 
AND 60 NM OF CENTER IN N SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER AND ALSO 
IN A FEEDER BAND WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 08N84W TO 10N103W TO 
08N110W TO 11N118W TO 06N130W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 114W AND FROM 
08N TO 10N BETWEEN 125W AND 128W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.