000
FZPN03 KNHC 111500
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 11 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.4N 116.6W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
11 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.5N 120.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND WITHIN 75 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.0N 126.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.5N 131.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 136.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 13.0N 141.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM NE AND WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM NE 
AND WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM NE 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.

.REMNANT LOW PRES OF BLANCA NEAR 25N127W 1011 MB. WITHIN 300 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLE N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW OF BLANCA NEAR 26N127W 1012 MB.
WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 127 N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 22N131W TO 28N130W. N OF 28N BETWEEN 
127W AND 133W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 13N E OF 90W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W E WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 24N WITHIN 120 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC SAT JUL 11...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITH BANDING FEATURES WITHIN 240 NM 
S AND 150 NM NW OF CENTER.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 103W 
AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 20N TO 22N E OF 107W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 07N78W TO 05N85W TO 
11N101W TO 09N107W TO 12N112W TO 06N130W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W. 

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.