000
FZPN03 KNHC 110317
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT JUL 11 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 10.5N 115.1W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
11 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.1N 119.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER 120 NM IN THE N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT 
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.6N 123.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM IN THE N SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 128.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 13.0N 137.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM IN THE E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM IN THE W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM IN 
THE NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM IN THE SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM IN 
THE N SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM IN THE S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMNANT LOW PRES OF BLANCA 25N127W 1010 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 
125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW OF BLANCA NEAR 25N128W 1012 MB. 
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 128W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW OF BLANCA NEAR 25N131W 1014 MB.  
WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.N OF 24N WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN 
BANDING FEATURES WITHIN 150 NM W AND WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLES 
OF CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS FROM 09N78W TO 10N97W TO 
10N110W TO 07N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 88W AND WITHIN 180 
NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 107W.  

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.