000
FZPN03 KNHC 041539
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT OCT 04 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.4N 122.1W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 04
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90
NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 18.9N 122.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 
NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 19.3N 125.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 19.3N 128.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 19.0N 130.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 18.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E NEAR 14.0N 99.5W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC OCT 04 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.2N 100.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 35 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.0N 102.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.0N 104.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 16.5N 106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 17.0N 108.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING WITHIN...210 NM NE...360 NM 
SE...180 NM SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 08N W OF 115W S OF LINE FROM 27N115W 
TO 27N127W TO 22N131W TO 19N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM NE...360 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 08N E OF 116W S OF 
LINE FROM 26N116W TO 26N125W TO 13N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM NE...330 NM SE...120 NM SW...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 13N E OF 117W S OF 
LINE FROM 26N117W TO 26N127W TO 21N136W TO 17N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM E AND S 
SEMICIRCLES AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 93W S OF LINE FROM 15N93W TO 15N103W TO 
00N122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM E AND S SEMICIRCLES AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. ELSEWHERE E OF 110W SW OF LINE FROM 15N1110W TO 15N98W TO 
00N93W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 
WITHIN 240 NM E AND S SEMICIRCLES AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 04N TO 16N BETWEEN 
95W AND 106W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N87W 1009 MB DRIFTING W. WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 10 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 80W AND 93W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
10N89W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N FROM 83W TO 93W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
10N92W 1005 MB. WITHIN 210 NM WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N FROM 84W TO 95W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN W SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF LINE FROM 30N123W TO 22N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 135W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1515 UTC SAT OCT 04.
.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 
NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER.

.T.D. FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 
NM W SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N87W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 420 NM W QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM W AND 60 NM 
E SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...14N120W TO 10N130W TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 30 NM S OF AXIS W OF 128W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER CLARK. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.