000
FZPN03 KNHC 040923
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT OCT 04 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.4N 122.0W 984 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 04 
MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.0N 122.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 180 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 19.4N 124.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE...150 NM SE...60 NM SW...AND 180 
NM NW QUADRANTS WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 19.5N 127.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 19.5N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 19.0N 133.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 13.6N 98.8W 1006 MB AT 0900 
UTC OCT 04 STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 
KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.8N 99.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 35 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 
TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.1N 101.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND 
60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. HIGHEST SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.0N 103.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 16.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 17.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING WITHIN 180 NM NE...330 NM 
SE...150 NM SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM NE...300 NM SE...150 NM SW...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE SE OF LINE FROM 30N124W TO 
23N140W TO LINE FROM 30N120W TO 10N120W TO 05N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING...WITHIN 150 
NM NE...270 NM SE...120 NM SW...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM N AND 300 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE SE 
OF LINE FROM 27N114W TO 10N123W TO 05N140W TO 90W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. ELSEWHERE 
SE OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 10N120W TO 05N140W TO 90W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E 
OF LINE FROM 27N114W TO 12N130W TO 00N109W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N94.5W TO 14N96W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 
16.5N94.5W TO 14N96W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE FROM 27N114W TO 10N123W TO 05N140W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N124W TO 23N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST FAR N.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 27N114W TO 15N127W 
TO 13N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC SAT OCT 04.

.T.S. MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 180 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.T.D. FIFTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...09N84W TO 14N99W TO 09N105W TO 
18N122W TO 10N130W TO 09N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 
120 NM N AND 150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 94W. ISOLATED 
SCATTERED CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 101W AND 
110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 134W AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 
138W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.