000
FZPN03 KNHC 031533
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI OCT 03 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 17.7N 122.2W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
03 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.9N 123.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 18.5N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 19.0N 127.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 19.0N 130.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 19.0N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING WITHIN 180 NM NE...300 NM 
SE...180 NM SW...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 115W TO 140W BETWEEN 11N AND 23N 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING WITHIN 210 
NM NE...330 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 115W TO 140W BETWEEN 
07N AND 20N WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY NW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING...WITHIN 
270 NM NE...360 NM SE...210 NM SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 117W TO 136W 
FROM 09N TO 20N WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY 
NW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N100W 1007 MB MOVING WNW TO NW 5 KT. WITHIN 150 
NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL. WITHIN 330 S SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 115W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N103W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 115W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N104W 1006 MB. WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 02N TO 16N BETWEEN 91W AND 117W. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N94.5W TO 14N96W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 20N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N W OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N122W TO 19N140W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC FRI OCT 03.

.T.S. MARIE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N100W 1007 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 85W 
AND 95W AND FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 79W AND 85W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...11N86W TO 14N99W TO 12N104W TO 
10N117W TO 08N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 
125W TO 134W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER CLARK. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.