000
FZPN03 KNHC 010944
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED OCT 01 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN E NEAR 16.3N 115.7W 1006 MB AT
0900 UTC OCT 01 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.7N 118.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.1N 121.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. HIGHEST SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.0N 123.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.0N 124.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.0N 126.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN T.D. FOURTEEN E WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 05N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN T.D. FOURTEEN E 
WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 
120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN T.D. FOURTEEN E 
WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N98W 1007 MB MOVING W 5 TO 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
05N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
12N103W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 110W 
S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N106W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN 
95W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.

.WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N98W TO 12N102W INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N132W TO 24N140W MOVING SE 10 KT. N OF 28N 
WITHIN 120 NM E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN NW SWELL. W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATING FROM 30N132W TO 
23N140W. N OF 26N WITHIN 90 NM W OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF FRONT WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. NW OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 
12N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0915 UTC WED OCT 01.
 
T.D. FOURTEEN E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM 
SE QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 8N78W 7N85W 13N93W 
11N105W 12N111W 08N125W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG IS WITHIN 120 NM  OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 105W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.