000
FZPN03 KNHC 152157
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELIDA AT 16.5N 113.3W 986 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 15 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 
80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE... 
65 NM NE QUADRANT AND 55 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.3N 117.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 60 NM FROM CENTER WITH SEAS TO 
18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.9N 123.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 35 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER 45 NM FROM CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 18.1N 128.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA NEAR 18.0N 132.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA NEAR 17.5N 135.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS 
TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES 09N94W 1009 MB.  WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WIND TO 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...10N98W 
1008 MB.  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 10N99W 
1007 MB.  WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  
WIND TO 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WIND TO 
20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 04N FROM 95W TO 100W  WIND LESS THAN 20 
KT.  SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 07N FROM 90W TO 125W  WIND LESS THAN 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE JUL 15.
.HURRICANE ELIDA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
WITHIN 190 NM SE QUADRANT. 

.LOW PRES AT 09N94W 1009 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM
S QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...
AXIS ALONG 07N81W TO 07N85W TO 09N91W TO 06N107W TO 08N114W TO 
08N125W TO 09N131W TO 07N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS E OF 101W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 
AXIS W OF 108W.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.