000
FZPN03 KNHC 120913
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 14.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 12.5N 96.7W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
12 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...20 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 14.2N 100.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 
NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 15.7N 104.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 
NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 21 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 17.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 18.0N 112.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 18.0N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 SW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 95W SW TO W WINDS TO 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM N AND WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES 19.5N110.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND WITHIN 150 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 20N114W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN N SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT JUL 12.
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA...NUMEROUS STRONG STRONG WITHIN 240 NM W 
AND WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES 19.5N110.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 
21N110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 08N77W TO 12N96W TO 
10N117W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 05N77W TO 06N96W TO 10N99W TO 09N109W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.