000
FZPN03 KNHC 201511
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT OCT 20 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 20
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 21
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 22
 
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.1N 106.6W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 20
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 18.7N 107.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 19.6N 107.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 
24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 20.8N 109.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 105 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 21.5N 112.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 22.0N 115.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 22.5N 119.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KIKO WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM S AND WITHIN 
150 NM N SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KIKO WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KIKO WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KIKO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
270 NM OF THE CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.WITHIN 360 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 16N140W 30N117W AND ELSEWHERE 
FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 122W AND 110W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 110W N TO NE WINDS TO 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 900 NM SE LINE 7N117W 16N93W AND S 
OF 12S W OF 117W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N W OF 85W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N W OF 95W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED N AND S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SAT OCT 20...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 
THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE 21N107W 17N106W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 9N13N94W 7N135W 
8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 
NM 8N86W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 11N91W 15N96W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH