000
FZPN03 KNHC 181559
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU OCT 18 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 18
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 19
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 20
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO AT 16.4N 103.4W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 18 
MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 8 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 
45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.5N 103.2W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 104.2W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO INLAND NEAR 19.5N 105.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO OVER WATER NEAR 20.5N 
106.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 22.0N 107.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM S AND 120 NM N  
SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 110W  SW TO W WIND TO 
20 KT  SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 12N FROM 95W TO 120W
S TO SW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W
SW WIND 20 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.  

.N OF 23N E OF 120W  N WIND 20 KT  SEAS 10 FT IN NW SWELL.  FROM 
13N TO 20N W OF 130W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.  N OF 27N 
W OF 120W  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 23N E OF 125W  N WIND 20 KT  SEAS 12 FT 
IN NW SWELL.  ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 23N110W 10N140W  N TO NE WIND 
TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 125W  N WIND 20 KT 
SEAS TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.  ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 23N110W 8N140W 
NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC THU OCT 18...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER.  SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT.  

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 8N80W 13N90W 10N104W 
9N125W 10N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ALONG COAST 
OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N78W TO 7N78W.  SCATTERED MODERATE AT 11N88W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W TO 135W. 

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH