000
FZPN03 KNHC 172119
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED OCT 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 19
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 14.6N 105.4W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
17 MOVING E OR 080 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.5N 104.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 105.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 106.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 240 NM S AND 180 NM N  
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE OF LINE 7N112W 17N97W SW WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 125W AND 95W S TO SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

.N OF 18N BETWEEN 122W AND 108W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT. FROM 10N TO 24N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N BETWEEN 122W AND 113W N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 13N TO 22N W OF 122W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 22N W OF 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 123W N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 
FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N W OF 112W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC WED OCT 17...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE 17N104W 13N110W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 8N82W 8N110W 8N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N83W 7N92W 
AND LINE 9N128W 11N135W.  

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE LINE 12N93W 16N104W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH