000
FZPN03 KNHC 171555
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 19
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO AT 14.8N 106.9W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 17 
MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 4 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 
45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.7N 106.6W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 106.7W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.5N 107.0W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 108.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 19.5N 108.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING.  WITHIN 240 NM SW AND 180 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING.  LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING.  
WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING.  LITTLE CHANGE.

.N OF 24N E OF 120W  NW WIND 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 22N FROM 115W TO 120W 
NW TO N WIND 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 26N FROM 115W TO 123W  N WIND 20 KT 
SEAS 12 FT IN NW SWELL.  ELSEWHERE N OF LINE 20N140W 23N110W 
WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 13N TO 20N W OF 135W  NE WIND 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC WED OCT 17...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
FROM 13N108W.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF THE COAST 
FROM 87W TO 96W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...14N92W  15N100W  9N120W  
9N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 
NM OF AXIS FROM 91W TO 104W. 

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH