000
FZPN03 KNHC 170919
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED OCT 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 19
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 14.2N 107.3W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
17 MOVING ENE OR 070 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 14.8N 106.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.7N 106.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 106.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.5N 107.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.0N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 240 NM SW AND 180 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. LITTLE CHANGE.

.N OF 24N E OF 120W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 22N FROM 112W TO 120W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N FROM 115W TO 123W N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
9 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF LINE 20N140W 
25N110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 13N TO 19N W OF 132W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC WED OCT 17...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
OF THE POINT 13.5N108.3W.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF THE COAST 
FROM 87W TO 96W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...7N77W 9N105W 9N140W.
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH