000
FZPN03 KNHC 170312
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED OCT 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 19
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 14.0N 107.5W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC
OCT 17 MOVING ESE OR 110 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 14.5N 106.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.5N 107.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.2N 107.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.0N 108.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.5N 109.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING WITHIN 240 NM SW AND WITHIN 180 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 122W AND 110W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 120W AND 108W N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 17N E OF 120W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT.

.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE OF LINE 9N125W 13N90W S TO SW WINDS 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. S OF 10N E OF 90W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 14N BETWEEN 120W AND 95W S TO 
SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF LINE 14N113W TO EQUATOR AT 135W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 21N W OF 128W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 19N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 28N W OF 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 17N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 13 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED OCT 17...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM EITHER SIDE LINE 14N111W 12N109W.  

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...11N86W 16N100W 9N125W 9N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 9N86W 
14N93W 13N97W 18N103W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 9N128W 7N137W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH