000
FZPN03 KNHC 152055
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 15 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 17
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E NEAR 15.1N 108.7W 1003 MB AT 2100
UTC OCT 15 MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.1N 108.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.1N 108.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN ASSOCIATED 
CONDITIONS.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM OF DEPRESSION CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM S OF LINE 11N115W 13N92W SW WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. S OF 8N E OF 85W SW WINDS TO 20 KT  
SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 5N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 122W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN S SWELL.

.ELSEWHERE N OF 15N BETWEEN 122W AND 110W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 110W N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 122W N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN N SWELL.

.FRONTAL TROUGH 30N129W 29N140W. N OF TROUGH WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. N OF 28N W OF 135W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N W OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SWELL. 

.FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 136W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC MON OCT 15...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM OF 16N111W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 12N87W 116N101W 
10N120W 7N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N81W 12N92W 15N105W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH