000
FZPN03 KNHC 151558
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 15 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 17
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E AT 15.2N 108.9W 1003 MB AT 1500 
UTC OCT 15 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 
30 GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.6N 108.9W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 25 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.3N 109.0W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
60 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.9N 109.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.5N 110.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.3N 111.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF DEPRESSION CENTER 
WIND 20 TO 30 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W  SW WIND 20 KT  SEAS 10 FT 
IN S SWELL.  S OF 12N E OF 100W  S TO SW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 
8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W
SW WIND 20 TO 25 KT  SEAS TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 112W
SW WIND 20 TO 25 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT IN S SWELL.  FROM 5N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 88W AND 102W  SW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.N OF 19N FROM 110W TO 120W  N WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 15N FROM 112W AND 120W
N WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 14N FROM 112W AND 120W 
N WIND 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.

.COLD FRONT 30N134W 29N140W.  N OF FRONT WIND LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FRONT DISSIPATED.  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
36 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC MON OCT 15...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 210 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF CENTER. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 10N85W 14N96W 9N114W 
9N122W 8N130W 10N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 106W.  

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH