000
FZPN03 KNHC 150916
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON OCT 15 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 17
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E NEAR 15.3N 108.9W 1003 MB AT 0900
UTC OCT 15 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.6N 108.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.2N 109.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. SEAS TO 15 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.8N 109.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.5N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.5N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF DEPRESSION CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 15N TO 20N W OF 120W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 24N W OF 120W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 23N W OF 120W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT WITH NE SWELL. 

.FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT WITH SLY SWELL. S OF 12N E OF 100W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN SLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITH S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 112W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT WITH S SWELL. FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 
88W AND 102W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH S SWELL.

.N OF 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT 
WITH N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH NLY SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W N WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 8 FT WITH NLY SWELL.

.COLD FRONT 30N137W 29N140W. N OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC MON OCT 15...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN AN 
AREA BOUNDED BY 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 109W AND 112W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 10N82W 17N104W 
10N112W 7N123W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
NEAR 7N79W 7N86W AND FROM 10N86W TO 13N89W TO 14N93W. ISOLATED 
STRONG NEAR 12N101W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 12N137W.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH