000
FZPN03 KNHC 150309
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 15 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 17
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E NEAR 15.0N 108.5W 1003 MB AT 0300
UTC OCT 15 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.4N 108.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.7N 107.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E AND WITHIN 45 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES. SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.5N 107.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.5N 108.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF DEPRESSION CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 5N TO 15N BETWEEN 84W AND 108W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM SE OF LINE 7N120W 
15N108W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N E OF 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.LOW PRES 10.5N139.5W 1011 MB. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES AND CONDITIONS W OF AREA. 

.N OF 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 117W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 120W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT  
SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC MON OCT 15...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E...NUMEROUS MODERATE AND STRONG 
CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 16N110W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 11N86W 15N108W 
9N117W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 87W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 
14N101W. 

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH