000
FZPN03 KNHC 221611
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 24
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 21.3N 112.7W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 22
MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT
...45 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM NE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 22.4N 111.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO JUST W OF S BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NEAR 23.5N 110.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT 
GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO INLAND...DISSIPATING
NEAR 24.2N 109.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW IVO NEAR 25.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW IVO NEAR 26.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM
NW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.LOW NEAR 17N128W MOVING ENE 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. WITHIN 60 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. N OF 22N W 
OF 125W NE WINDS W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
N AND NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 17N128W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 17N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N AND NE 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 119W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN NW AND N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 17N127W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N AND 
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE 
N OF 17N W OF 127W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN 
NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 119W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW TO N SWELL...HIGHEST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W.

.FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 85W AND 100W S TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. FROM 3N TO 7N BETWEEN 100W AND 122W SE TO S 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 3N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 98W S TO SW WINDS
TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. FROM 3N TO 7N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 115W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 9N W OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 3N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 98W S TO SW WINDS
TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. FROM 3N TO 8N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 125W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N W OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS
TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC SAT SEP 22...
TROPICAL STORM IVO...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NW AND N OF
CENTER. 

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12N96W 15N94W...
AND ALSO WITHIN 30 NM OF 17.5N128W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 8N78W 10N90W 11N110W 
13N120W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 79W AND 85W.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH