000
FZPN03 KNHC 192122
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED SEP 19 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 19
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 20
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 21
 
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 15.4N 111.9W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 16.8N 113.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 18.9N 113.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 45 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 21.0N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 22.0N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 23.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E NEAR 17.4N 128.8W 1007 MB AT 
2100 UTC SEP 19 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.4N 129.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 17.3N 130.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 17.4N 130.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 18.8N 128.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IVO WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IVO WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IVO WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN THIRTEEN-E WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N AND 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN THIRTEEN-E WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 420 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN THIRTEEN-E WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.ELSEWHERE N OF 14N W OF 122W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN NE SWELL...HIGHEST SW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 122W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL...HIGHEST W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 25N W OF 123W NE WINDS 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. N OF 25N W OF 120W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN N SWELL.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 13N W OF 120W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. S OF 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 120W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N BETWEEN 95W AND 135W S WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N BETWEEN 90W AND 135W SE TO S WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC WED SEP 19...
TROPICAL STORM IVO...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM S AND 75 NM N SEMICIRCLES.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLE.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...7N77W 11N92W 14N110W 17N128W 
13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W 
AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N TO 16N BETWEEN 114W AND 
123W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS W OF 128W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH